Nearly 9 in 10 nondegree certificates for skilled trades have no positive impact on wages, according to a report that finds U.S. job preparation programs lagging behind workforce needs. Here’s what you need to know about the credential effectiveness study:
The study’s shocking findings
Conservative think tank and nonprofit reveal credential failure:
- Only 12% of short-term certificates produced wage gains of at least 10%
- Mere 18% of credential earners likely to get any salary bump at all
- Many paying for tuition without any payoff from programs
- Hardly any credential earners moved up to higher jobs
The research methodology
Comprehensive analysis of certificate programs nationwide:
- American Enterprise Institute and Burning Glass Institute conducted study
- Analyzed 23,444 nondegree certificate programs from over 2,000 institutions
- Found stark differences between disconnected education and effective programs
- Study released this week with detailed workforce impact data
The lead researcher’s concerns
Former Education Department official warns of navigation challenges:
- Mark Schneider, AEI nonresident senior fellow, led research
- Says findings highlight challenges navigating “wild west” of 1.1 million credentials
- Former commissioner of Education Department’s National Center for Education Statistics
- “Usual cues to quality” not sufficient to help learners find valuable credentials
The successful credential programs
Top 10% of programs show dramatic impact:
- Added nearly $5,000 to average earner’s wages a year later
- Increased likelihood of promotion seventeenfold
- Boosted chances of successful career switch sixfold
- Demonstrate stark contrast with majority of ineffective programs
The workforce trend context
High school graduates increasingly choosing trades over college:
- Several workforce experts noted trend toward skilled trades
- Young people embracing trades over pricey four-year college programs
- Georgetown University study shows third of job openings through 2031 need credentials but no college degree
- Trend attributed to dwindling good-paying jobs requiring college degree
The enrollment surge reasons
Multiple factors driving trade school popularity:
- Growing sense college degree doesn’t justify school debt mountains
- Surging enrollments in apprenticeships and trade schools
- Increased participation in Pell Grant workforce training programs
- Students seeking alternatives to traditional four-year education
Industry expert criticism
Apprenticeship leader says institutions “cashing in” on trend:
- Paul Iaccarino oversees large unionized electrician program through USWU Local 363
- Says many institutions staying “disconnected from the labor market”
- “Many certificate programs built to generate enrollment, not careers”
- Programs lack employer support and offer minimal practical experience
The effective training model
Successful programs offer different approach:
- Iaccarino’s program offers debt-free, paid training
- Places students directly into careers earning over $80,000 yearly
- Includes pensions, health care, and zero student loans
- Only Labor Department registered programs guarantee stable careers
Technology sector perspective
Cybersecurity CEO explains employer viewpoint:
- Chase Norlin of Arizona-based Transmosis says certificates show “baseline understanding”
- Many credential programs haven’t addressed tech industry needs
- Industry needs theoretical learning blended with practical knowledge
- “Real-world work experience” critical missing link for job candidates
The specific success stories
Two trades show positive credential impact:
- Electricians earn average yearly salary of $62,350
- Can boost wages by $3,400 annually with National Center for Construction Education and Research credential
- Plumbers, pipefitters, steamfitters earn average $62,350 annually
- Can increase by $1,900 with American Welding Society plumbing credential
The policy recommendations
Report calls for funding reform:
- Public funding for credential programs “must be tied to empirical evidence of labor market value”
- Need to protect learners and taxpayers from wasting time
- Matt Sigelman of Burning Glass Institute highlighted successful programs
- “Return on investment for vast majority of credentials sure to be negative”
Read more:
• Report finds 88% of skilled trade credentials have no impact on wages
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