You know all those doomsayers claiming that the MAGA base is fracturing over the war in Iran?
Tucker Carlson is gone! Marjorie Taylor Greene is off the reservation! Joe Kent has left in a huff!
Yeah, well, it sure doesn’t look like the MAGA base is fractured if you look at the numbers.
“Trump’s approval with MAGA GOP is literally 100%.”
“MAGA makes up the same share of voters as it did when Trump won in 2024.”
Remember this next time you see a story quoting Tucker, Bannon, Greene (and probably next Kent) saying MAGA is mad at Trump and splitting. It’s not. https://t.co/IumavbmIyG
— Yair Rosenberg (@Yair_Rosenberg) March 18, 2026
It is certainly true that there is a lot of grumbling among the Fortress America crowd about Trump’s alliance with Israel and Operation Epic Fury, but that grumbling seems to be aimed at an audience that is either not persuaded or who never identified as MAGA in the first place.
But when, statistically at least, a president’s support among his base is 100%, it’s hard to see how one can argue that his base is split.
Obviously, it isn’t LITERALLY true that his support is 100%. Polls are samples, and they have margins of error even in random samples, and these days, no sample is truly random. There are all sorts of reasons why polls can never be precise, and even basic accuracy is harder to achieve every day.
But with that said, it’s obvious that there is no split among the base.
BREAKING: Poll after poll shows that there is no split in MAGA on Iran.
Even CNN and NBC are showing favorability towards Trump’s decision. pic.twitter.com/GvspFXIzYj
— Eyal Yakoby (@EYakoby) March 11, 2026
Of course, having your base behind you is a necessary but not sufficient condition for political success, and President Trump’s polling numbers are pretty “meh,” and the polling on the Iran war is downright awful. Generally speaking, Americans’ support for wars is high at the initial stage in any conflict, and drifts down over time.
This time around, the propaganda campaign against the war has been highly successful. The unanimity among the media and the elite has eroded support far more quickly than usual, despite massive successes.
🚨 IT’S OFFICIAL: President Trump reveals the Iran war is about to end, then prices will PLUMMET
He told the whole world, no apologies: “YOU WATCH.”
“As soon as that war’s over — which WILL be soon — your prices are gonna drop, LIKE A ROCK.” 🔥 pic.twitter.com/GwVhFxnly4
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) March 17, 2026
Success on the battlefield will, as usual, determine what people think down the line. Trump should remain focused on winning the war, and ignore the polls at the moment.
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