Republican Spencer Pratt appears poised to keep his political run alive.
According to early returns and election projections on Wednesday morning, Pratt is projected to advance to a November runoff against incumbent Democratic Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass.
The race is not yet officially settled because California’s notoriously slow vote-counting process means ballots are still being tabulated.
However, multiple reports predict Bass and Pratt are the clear favorites to advance.
CNBC cited prediction market activity on Wednesday morning:
Traders are fairly certain Bass will make it to the second round, giving her 93% odds. Bass has consistently led in public polls of the race, though has been well short of the 50% mark for an outright win in the first round. Pratt has about a three-in-four chance of advancing, according to traders.
City Councilmember Nithya Raman is also challenging the incumbent. Raman has a 28% chance of advancing to the second round.
Will Spencer Pratt win in November?
Traders say Karen Bass and Spencer Pratt will advance to runoff in high-profile L.A. mayoral race https://t.co/LtZyF42f1Y
— CNBC (@CNBC) June 2, 2026
CNN reported Wednesday morning that Bass had secured a spot on the November ballot while Pratt was running in second place ahead of far-left City Councilwoman Nithya Raman and other candidates.
Pratt was solidly in second place as of 3:30 am local time on Wednesday morning with 63 percent of votes counted.
Per the projection shared by CNBC, the most likely outcome of Tuesday’s election is a fall showdown between Bass and Pratt.
Pratt said late Tuesday night he was ready to take Bass on:
🚨 WOW! Spencer Pratt just ADVANCED to a runoff mayoral election in LA after Karen Bass gets barely a THIRD of the vote
Pratt is currently over 30%, 2nd place! 🔥👏🏻
“Obviously, God wanted 5 more months of me exposing all the failures of our mayor.”
1v1 matchup, time for LA to…
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) June 3, 2026
Pratt, who lost his home in last year’s Pacific Palisades fire, has spent months urging voters to help him take Los Angeles in a different direction.
Bass’ tenure as Mayor has been marked by the lack of an effective response to the devastating wildfire, a cost-of-living crisis, and the city’s continued homeless crisis.
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